If you’ve been hot in the last few summers, the next five summers will be even hotter.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has published its latest report on weather predictions for the next five years, which span from 2023 to 2027.
The report aims to inform policy makers by providing climate predictions for the coming years.
“This report does not mean that we will permanently exceed the 1.5°C level specified in the Paris Agreement, which refers to long-term warming over many years.“, it states Petteri Taalas, WMO Secretary General. “However, WMO is sounding the alarm that we will temporarily exceed the 1.5°C level with increasing frequency.”.
They predict that there is a 98% chance that at least one of the next five years will be the warmest on record.
This is how the heat and precipitation will affect us
“An El Niño warming is expected to develop in the coming months and this will combine with human-induced climate change to push global temperatures into uncharted territory.Taalas adds. “This will have far-reaching implications for health, food safety, water management and the environment. We need to be prepared”.
“For most of Earth’s history, the planet has been without ice caps.”, he comments Chris Mays, Professor of Paleontology at University College Cork, Ireland. “But transitions from a frozen world to an ice-free world are often much slower. We are heading towards an ice-free globe, but the speed at which things are changing is reminiscent of the most extreme and devastating warming events of Earth’s past.”.
With regard to rainfall, the forecasts suggest that there will be an increase in the same in the Sahel, in northern Europe, Alaska and northern Siberia, but a reduction in rainfall is expected. rainfall in the Amazon and part of Australia.
Although in 2015 the probability of exceeding 1.5 °C compared to pre-industrial times was 0%, it is now expected that for at least one year and from now to 2027 it will exceed 66% or more.