ChatGPT has crept in everywhere. On the iPhone, using a shortcut with Siri. On Apple Watch, using the Petey app. And, of course, in the entire Microsoft office suite, including its Bing and Edge browsers. But this is just the beginning of a new era, a mere tool: GPT-4 is incredibly capable. And as they affirm from OpenAI, in an officially published document, it has the capacity to replace thousands of jobs.
GPT-4 includes, among other new features, the ability to generate 25,000-word posts from any topic. You can compose poems and songs, make recipes, create exercise plans, and interpret images. But the most relevant—and worrying—facet lies in what they call “exhibitions”a measure of the time it takes GPT to learn to perform a task performed by a human being in at least 50% of the time it would take a human.
GPT-4 has the potential to affect thousands of jobs
Within the aforementioned exposures there are three variables, E0, E1 and E2, depending on the range of exposure. The team of professionals from OpenAI analyzed 19,262 tasks and 2,087 work processes from the OnetCenter database, which describes the rudiments of all those jobs.
By describing all these roles, OpenAI was able to calculate how many of these jobs would require additional software, could be performed with current LLMs (Large Language Models), or they could simply be emulated without GPT being exposed. That is, the results presented would be indistinguishable from what a person could execute.
And the results are scary: there are jobs like mathematicians, financial advisors and analysts, notaries and legal administrators, writers and copywriters, programmers or web interface designers. with 100% exposure. That is, GPT could replace them performing all of their main tasks. The labor muscle of these positions could be swapped for GPT-4 and the results wouldn’t change much. The first conclusion is, of course, interesting:
“Our analysis suggests that people with bachelor’s, master’s, and professional degrees are more exposed to GPT and GPT-based software than those without formal education.”
Ironically: those jobs that require prolonged training also help GPT to train. GPT-4 passes with the highest score on most law, biology, or straight math exams, while still failing creative and service tasks. It’s a big step: GPT has been evolving since 2018 and in barely five years it is already capable of achieving “human performance” in more than twenty scenarios.
Do you program routines, software or performance tests for the future iPhone 15? GPT-4 could handle it. Advise hand in hand and wrap that same iPhone 15 in gift paper from an App Store? Better a person of flesh and blood, of course.
As the report relates, jobs such as bus drivers, agricultural machinery operators, athletes, cooks, mechanics, plumbers, electricians, masons or wood workers, They have nothing to fear. Neither are those intermediate roles that interact with humans more directly.. GPT, of course, does not have qualities for physical work: that would depend on how these AIs are implanted in a theoretical future on an android capable of doing so.
In Applesphere | I’ve swapped Chrome for the Edge browser (with Bing ChatGPT built in) and my 2017 Mac now flies